山东半岛东部桑沟湾1985—2025年岸线演变及其驱动因素分析

Shoreline evolution and its driving factors in Sanggou Bay, eastern Shandong Peninsula from 1985 to 2025

  • 摘要: 基于1985—2025年Landsat系列遥感影像,本文采用MNDWI-Otsu-Canny综合算法提取桑沟湾40年岸线序列,结合EOT20潮汐模型与无人机-RTK摄影测量技术,构建“卫星遥感+无人机摄影测量+RTK定位”多源数据融合的岸线分析框架,实现多时相岸线的统一潮汐校正。利用DSAS对砂质岸线进行多指标定量分析,并整合ERA5风浪数据、潮流观测资料及岸线开发历史,系统揭示了桑沟湾岸线演变特征及其动力机制。结果表明:① 岸线类型显著人工化。40年间岸线总长度由49.41 km增至55.05 km,人工岸线占比由24%升至55%,成为主导类型,砂质岸线与基岩岸线持续减少。② 砂质岸线整体处于侵蚀状态,净岸线移动均值为−17.33 m,端点速率−0.43 m/a,线性回归速率−0.17 m/a,呈现“北轻南重、南北两侧淤积” 空间分异格局。③ 岸线演变受自然动力与人类活动共同驱动,波浪作用作为主控因素对砂质岸线形成长期冲刷,潮流的不对称性以及地形地貌的影响,共同调节着泥沙运输格局,加上人类活动的影响,多重因素耦合共同驱动岸线演变。本研究创新性地将无人机-RTK高精度地形测量与Landsat时序遥感相结合,使用基于实测潮间带坡度的潮汐位置校正方法,有效降低了潮差引起的岸线提取系统误差,为长时序岸线演变分析的不确定性评估提供了量化依据。研究揭示了半封闭海湾岸线演化机制,可为桑沟湾岸线管理与海岸带可持续治理提供科学参考。

     

    Abstract: Based on Landsat imagery from 1985–2025, an integrated MNDWI-Otsu-Canny algorithm was applied to extract a 40-year shoreline time series of the Sanggou Bay, Weihai, Shandong. A multi-source data fusion framework was established combining satellite remote sensing, UAV photogrammetry, and RTK positioning, and the EOT20 tidal model was employed to normalize multi-temporal shorelines to a mean sea level (MSL) datum. Sandy shoreline segments were quantitatively analyzed using the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS), and results were interpreted together with ERA5 wind-wave reanalysis data, tidal current observations, and the history of coastal development to elucidate the shoreline evolution patterns and driving mechanisms. Results indicate: (1) the shoreline has been obviously artificialized. Over the 40-year period, the total shoreline length increased from 49.41 km to 55.05 km, of which the artificial proportion rose from 24% to 55% and has become the dominant type, while sandy and rocky shorelines declined continuously. (2) Sandy shorelines exhibit an overall erosional trend, and the mean Net Shoreline Movement of −17.33 m, End Point Rate of −0.43 m/a, and Linear Regression Rate of −0.17 m/a were noticed, displaying a distinct spatial pattern of "light erosion in the north, intensive erosion in the south, and accretion in both flanks". (3) Shoreline evolution is driven by the coupled effects of natural dynamics and anthropogenic activities. Wave action serves as the primary controlling factor, exerting persistent erosion on sandy shorelines; tidal asymmetry and geomorphological configuration jointly regulate the sediment transport patterns. Combined with human activities, these multiple factors interact to drive shoreline evolution. This study innovatively integrates UAV-RTK high-precision topographic surveying with Landsat time-series remote sensing, applying a tidal position correction method based on measured intertidal slope gradients, which effectively reduced systematic errors in shoreline extraction caused by tidal range variations and provided a quantitative basis for uncertainty assessment in long-term shoreline evolution analysis. This research revealed the evolution mechanisms of shorelines in a semi-enclosed bay and offered scientific guidance for shoreline management and sustainable coastal zone governance in Sanggou Bay.

     

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